Dollar as the Primary Reserve Currency and Possible Scenarios of his Collapse

  • Katarzyna Szuper The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Faculty of Social Science
Keywords: money; dollar; currency reserve; special drawing rights; monetary system

Abstract

For the long time, the position of the dollar as the global currency is stable. His domination began in 1994, contrary to the assumptions of the conference in Bretton Woods, the dollar was the only currency convertible into gold. USA fulfills all the conditions to the dollar was the reserve currency. Despite attempts to replace the dollar with the euro, renminbi or special drawing rights, dollar continues to play a significant role in the monetary system. Currently the biggest threat to the US dollar is the Chinese yuan. China’s economy is growing steadily at a rapid pace and has a positive trade balance. United States have opposite values. This is the reason why the USA will have to make major structural changes. Although the collapse in relation to the dollar is quite incredible, it is not impossible. Especially if one takes into account the history of monetary systems. The possible collapse of the present system may be associated with war, gold, chaos or all at one.

References

Burda M., Wyplosz Ch., Makroekonomia. Podręcznik europejski, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa 2013.

Gostomski E., Ewolucja wielkości, struktury i wykorzystania oficjalnych rezerw walutowych na świecie, w: Polityka ekonomiczna i rynki finansowe a funkcjonowanie gospodarki, red. M. Pronobis, Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa w Gdańsku, Warszawa 2013.

Lelonek A., Chiński juan zastąpi dolara jako waluta światowa w 2017 r.?, www.defence 24.pl

Międzynarodowy Fundusz Walutowy, Chinese Renminbi to be Included in IMF’s Special Drawing Right Basket, img.org

Międzynarodowy Fundusz Walutowy, Enhancing International Monetary Stability – A Role for the SDR?, imf.org.

Narodowy Bank Polski, Międzynarodowa rola euro III, https://www.nbp.pl/publikacje/o_euro/euro_III.pdf 2011

Nieuchronna śmierć dolara versus YUAN/RENMINBI, www.wolna-polska.pl

Oręziak L., Euro. Nowy pieniądz, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa 2004.

Polityka ekonomiczna i rynki finansowe a funkcjonowanie gospodarki, red. M. Pronobis, Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa w Gdańsku, Warszawa 2013.

Rickards J., Śmierć pieniądza. Nadchodzący upadek międzynarodowego systemu walutowego, Helion, Gliwice 2014.

Rothbard M., Złoto, banki, ludzie. Krótka historia pieniądza, Fijor Publishing, Warszawa 2009.

Smith Ch. H., Why the US Dollar „Works” and why a Gold-Backed Currency Doesn’t, www.oftwominds.com

Published
2020-03-06
Section
ARTICLES